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Strate𝔾 Update - Week 14 | Q1 | 2025

Strate𝔾 Update - Week 14 | Q1 | 2025

Short term holders at bull market maximum pain, while Long Term Holders accumulate.

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Gert van Lagen
Mar 31, 2025
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Strate𝔾 Update - Week 14 | Q1 | 2025
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The information and insights are based on my knowledge; don’t take it as financial advice.


Summary

  • Short term holders at bull market maximum pain, while Long Term Holders accumulate.

  • Bitcoin ranges well above the invalidation line of $74.4k, poised to blow off.

  • Altcoin market cap tests neck line of its Cup and Handle pattern another time.

  • Ethereum tests main main support again

  • The dollar continues its decline after a strong rejection at high time frame (HTF) Fibonacci resistance.

  • The S&P 500 prints another Sign of Weakness in Wyckoff Distribution.


Economic Calendar

  • Apr-04, 12:30 UTC:

    • Non Farm Payrolls | Forecast 128 | Previous 151

  • Apr-04, 12:30 UTC:

    • Unemployment Rate | Forecast 4.2 | Previous 4.1


Key Metrics

  • Current status 100% Winning strategy: 🔵—> ALL-IN

    • a weekly candle close below $74.4k would flash the black signal.

  • 10Y-2Y Yield Spread is well above zero

    • market top before recession to be expected within 1 month.


Bull Market or Bear Market?

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