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Strate𝔾 Update - Week 16 | Q2 | 2025

Strate𝔾 Update - Week 16 | Q2 | 2025

On-chain data: Bitcoin nowhere near its top; Dollar breaks bearish.

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Gert van Lagen
Apr 14, 2025
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Strate𝔾 Update - Week 16 | Q2 | 2025
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The information and insights are based on my knowledge; don’t take it as financial advice.


Summary

  • Dollar breaks down (finally)

  • Bitcoin bounces from neck line 4-year inverse H&S.

  • Altcoin market cap back at neck line of its Cup and Handle pattern.

  • Stocks bounce but not with conviction.


Key Metrics

  • Current status 100% Winning strategy: 🔵—> ALL-IN

    • a weekly candle close below $75.5k would flash the black signal.

  • 10Y-2Y Yield Spread is well above zero

    • market top before recession has been printed.


Dollar

Trump’s tariff war has borne fruit in an unexpected way: a growing number of countries now want to distance themselves from the dollar. The power behind the dollar has been throwing its weight around, bullying the global economy. As emphasized in this newsletter for over a year and a half, the dollar flashed a significant sign of weakness in July 2023 when it broke the 2021–2022 uptrend.

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