Strate𝔾 Update - Week 25 | Q2 | 2025
Boring on the LTF, Still exciting on HTF
The information and insights are based on my knowledge; don’t take it as financial advice.
Summary
Bitcoin ready to explode
Altcoin market cap confirms breakout
ETH/BTC shows strong bullish divergence
Dollar confirms downtrend with another bearish weekly close
Key Metrics
Current status 100% Winning strategy: 🔵—> ALL-IN
a weekly candle close below $84.9k would flash the black signal.
10Y-2Y Yield Spread is well above zero
Content
BITCOIN
ALTCOINS
STOCKS
FOREX
SUPERMACRO CONTEXT (BTC/STOCKS/FOREX)
This is one of the most important charts in my opinion, so let’s start right here this week. The US10Y in black is breaking back above the Fed Rate, something we always witness during the start of a recession…
That’s why I still see the first scenario play out with an early $BTC top at $325k before mid-July.
1. BITCOIN
Last week Bitcoin has grabbed some downside liquidity. All the while a huge amount of potential liquidations >$2b have piled up at the current all-time high, see link. First Bitcoin rose on fear, now it will rise on liquidations. The peak will be characterized by a lot of long term holders starting to take profits, i.e. dormant wallets getting active again. All major top indicators are still about halfway to the peak zone (Rhodl Ratio, MVRV Z-Score, etc.).