@GertvanLagen

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Strate𝔾 Update - Week 28 | Q3 | 2025

Strate𝔾 Update - Week 28 | Q3 | 2025

Liquidity piling up at $BTC ATH, first a LTF wick to 103.5k-107k zone?

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Gert van Lagen
Jul 07, 2025
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Strate𝔾 Update - Week 28 | Q3 | 2025
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The information and insights are based on my knowledge; don’t take it as financial advice.


Summary

  • Bitcoin liquidity is piling up around the ATH, quick downside wick expected first

  • Altcoin market cap holds neck line cup and handle

  • ETH/BTC at border support zone - make or break it!

  • Dollar has confirmed downtrend on quarterly candle, and zigzags down


Key Metrics

  • Current status 100% Winning strategy: 🔵—> ALL-IN

    • a weekly candle close below $88k would flash the black signal.

  • 10Y-2Y Yield Spread is well above zero


Content

  1. BITCOIN

  2. ALTCOINS

  3. STOCKS

  4. FOREX

  5. SUPERMACRO CONTEXT (BTC/STOCKS/FOREX)


The second half of 2025 has started. Bitcoin and stocks have closed at really high prices, while the dollar has closed at a really weak level. This high timeframe confirmation will likely result in continuing trends for those asset classes in H2.


1. BITCOIN


Four weeks ago Bitcoin grabbed some downside liquidity but not all. Three weeks ago during the Iran attack the liquidity below $100k was fully taken. Now the ATH zone is becoming a stronger and stronger liquidity magnet.

Looking at the lower timeframe liquidation heat map, it’s clear that price likely will first flush the $103.5-k-107k liquidity zone (quick wick?). If so, my monthly trade will be opening a long trade in this LTF liquidity zone to sell back in the HTF target zone.

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