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Strate𝔾 Update - Week 29 | Q3 | 2024

Strate𝔾 Update - Week 29 | Q3 | 2024

Stocks at ATH's again, Bitcoin bouncing off the 200 day SMA

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Gert van Lagen
Jul 15, 2024
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Strate𝔾 Update - Week 29 | Q3 | 2024
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The information and insights are based on my knowledge; don’t take it as financial advice.


News of last week

  • Despite the assassination attempt, Donald Trump is still set to speak at the Bitcoin conference later this month.

  • Germany has liquidated its entire Bitcoin stash, worth $2.9 billion.

  • US inflation has dropped to 3%, beating expectations.

  • Goldman Sachs, managing $1.64 trillion in assets, plans to introduce three tokenization projects this year.

  • CFTC Chairman states that an Illinois court has classified Bitcoin and Ethereum as commodities, and asserts that 70-80% of cryptocurrencies are not securities.

  • Updated S-1 filings for spot Ethereum ETFs have been submitted by Fidelity, VanEck, Franklin, 21Shares, Grayscale, BlackRock

Tweet of the week —> “Early signs Miner Capitulation is ending.”


Current status 100% Winning strategy: 🔵—> ALL-IN

a price drop to $50.4k would flash the black signal.


Bitcoin

→ Supermacro Context

Step-like formation (2023 - ) - Update

Bitcoin has bounced back above $60k. Structurally, there’s one decisive move needed to fully leave Base 4 / Correction IV behind. Extending about 10% beyond the current ATH and closing a weekly candle at those levels will confirm wave IV is final.

On the other hand, if the price continues its downward trend, a weekly close below the $50.4k price level will signal the imminence of a deeper bear market first and hence delay wave V.

If the price falls below $31.8k, wave V within this structure will be fully invalidated.dated.

Cup with Handle formation (2022 - ) - Update

Base 4 is also the handle of the giant cup with handle pattern we’re tracking. Now price is bouncing, it can act as a busted double top pattern, since it broke back above $60k. Price shouldn’t close a weekly candle below $50.4k in order to not enter bearish territory and postponing a move to $200k+.

INDEX:BTCUSD Chart Image by MrGert

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