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Strateš”¾ Update - Week 44 | Q4 | 2024

Strateš”¾ Update - Week 44 | Q4 | 2024

Risk-on remains, BTC heads closer to ATH after break-out and successful bullish retest

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Gert van Lagen
Oct 28, 2024
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Strateš”¾ Update - Week 44 | Q4 | 2024
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The information and insights are based on my knowledge; don’t take it as financial advice.

News

  • Emory University has revealed that it holds $16 million in a Bitcoin ETF.

  • Investment firm VanEck forecasts Bitcoin could reach $3 million in value and become a global reserve asset by 2050.

  • Hong Kong announces plans to grant more cryptocurrency exchange licenses by the end of 2024.

  • Top financial leaders, including executives from BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, and Citibank, will gather in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, this week.

  • Less than five percent of the global population currently holds investments in cryptocurrencies.

  • In Switzerland, the city of Lugano has unveiled a statue dedicated to Satoshi Nakamoto, the mysterious creator of Bitcoin.

  • Pennsylvania has passed legislation aimed at protecting the rights of Bitcoin holders within the state.

  • Tesla confirmed that none of its $763 million Bitcoin holdings were sold during the third quarter of 2024.

  • Billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones stated his current investments include both gold and Bitcoin.

  • Avalanche has introduced a Visa card that enables users to make payments with cryptocurrency.


Tweet of this week: ā€œCardano and Bitcoin are bridging.ā€


Current status 100% Winning strategy: (šŸ”µ)—> (ALL-IN)

a weekly candle close below $58.7k would really flash the black signal.

CRYPTO:BTCUSD Chart Image by MrGert

Risk-On Warning: First Blow-Off incoming!

The Yield spread (10-2Y) has reversed well back above zero after staying below for over 2 years. With the FED rate now really cut strongly, indicators are lining up in a prerecession formation.

Similar patterns preceded a recession within 6 months in the past, but ignited a final rally first. After that? Sharp collapse. Compare it yourself in the chart below.

OANDA:SPX500USD Chart Image by MrGert

Bitcoin - Falling Broadening Wedge - Update

→ Supermacro Context

Bitcoin (BTC) has broken out of the 7-month descending broadening wedge pattern last week and is currently bouncing from upper trend line after a successful bullish retest.

Historically, a falling broadening wedge within an uptrend has a 79% probability of breaking to the upside. Additionally, there has been a strong rebound off the 40-week simple moving average (SMA) band, further supporting a potential upward move.

INDEX:BTCUSD Chart Image by MrGert

As long as the price closes the week above the 58.7k level, the 4-5 wave shown below will likely be confirmed by surpassing the ATH set earlier this year. It's evident that the price is still in the iii-iv correction phase, with the exciting final blow-off wave iv-v yet to begin.

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