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Strateš”¾ Update - Week 52 | Q4 | 2024

Strateš”¾ Update - Week 52 | Q4 | 2024

Alts are ready to surge dramatically

Gert van Lagen's avatar
Gert van Lagen
Dec 24, 2024
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Strateš”¾ Update - Week 52 | Q4 | 2024
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The information and insights are based on my knowledge; don’t take it as financial advice.

News

  • MicroStrategy acquires 5,262 Bitcoin, spending $561 million.

  • Fewer than 7% of people worldwide have invested in crypto.

  • MetaMask broadens its US crypto card pilot, enabling wallet payments.

  • France's Groupe BPCE to offer crypto investment services to 35M users.

  • SEC greenlights Hashdex's Bitcoin & Ethereum ETF for Nasdaq.

  • El Salvador plans to speed up Bitcoin purchases for its reserves.

  • Marathon Digital buys 15,574 BTC, valued at $1.53 billion.

  • Federal Reserve Chair Powell says a recession has been avoided. He forecasts another strong year but notes inflation could take 1-2 years to hit 2%. Powell confirms the Fed cannot own Bitcoin. Rates cut by 25bps.

  • Deutsche Bank is developing a Layer 2 blockchain on Ethereum, Bloomberg reveals.

  • Ohio lawmaker proposes a state Bitcoin reserve.

  • Ripple launches its new stablecoin, RLUSD.


Current status 100% Winning strategy: šŸ”µā€”> ALL-IN

a weekly candle close below $65.6k would flash the black signal.


The market experienced a significant dip this week, driven by the hawkish Federal Reserve's decision to cut rates by another 25 bps. This led to a spike in the 10Y-2Y Yield Spread. However, the Yield Spread has since recovered somewhat, and markets have rebounded. This serves as an early indicator of a potential incoming recession.

With the S&P 500 having peaked and risk-on markets rallying, a sharp 30-50% correction is quite common.

Refer to the figure below: the cycle for altcoins is only just beginning, while larger-cap markets have already peaked. Bitcoin has been holding steady around the $100k level, maintaining its strength despite the broader market dip.

Image

Risk-On Warning: First Blow-Off incoming!

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